Opening Round | Heat by Heat Analysis | Pipeline

Men's Tour - Heat 1 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Yago Dora: 62.2/100
• Seth Moniz: 42.8/100
• Edgard Groggia: 32.5/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Yago Dora: +8.2% edge @ 2.70 ⭐⭐
• Edgard Groggia: -4.9% edge @ 3.50 ❌
• Seth Moniz: -15.4% edge @ 2.15 ❌
Yago Dora (BRA)
Odds: 2.70 (37% implied)
Performance Level: Strong (16.0)
Form: Stable (-1.3)
Pipeline Experience: 5 events
Historic Pipe Score: 7.15
Career Win Rate: 50%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.17
• Win Rate: 47%
• Rating: 1.28
Seth Moniz (HAW)
Odds: 2.15 (47% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (5.6)
Form: Stable (+0.3)
Pipeline Experience: 6 events
Historic Pipe Score: 8.20
Career Win Rate: 53%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.23
• Win Rate: 32%
• Rating: 0.85
Edgard Groggia (BRA)
Odds: 3.50 (29% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (8.9)
Form: Stable (-0.1)
Pipeline Experience: Rookie
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (6 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Seth Moniz leads Pipeline scoring (8.2)
• 👥 Yago Dora best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.28)
Men's Tour - Heat 2 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Ethan Ewing: 71.9/100
• Jackson Bunch: 38.0/100
• Matthew McGillivray: 35.5/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Matthew McGillivray: +2.7% edge @ 4.60 ⭐
• Ethan Ewing: -6.1% edge @ 1.80 ❌
• Jackson Bunch: -9.0% edge @ 2.85 ❌
Ethan Ewing (AUS)
Odds: 1.80 (56% implied)
Performance Level: Strong (17.1)
Form: Stable (-0.7)
Pipeline Experience: 6 events
Historic Pipe Score: 10.93
Career Win Rate: 42%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.79
• Win Rate: 62%
• Rating: 1.60
Matthew McGillivray (RSA)
Odds: 4.60 (22% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (4.1)
Form: Slumping (-3.6)
Pipeline Experience: 4 events
Historic Pipe Score: 12.28
Career Win Rate: 38%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.77
• Win Rate: 15%
• Rating: 0.37
Jackson Bunch (HAW)
Odds: 2.85 (35% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (3.8)
Form: Stable (-1.0)
Pipeline Experience: 1 events
Historic Pipe Score: 13.17
Career Win Rate: 50%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (1 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Jackson Bunch leads Pipeline scoring (13.2)
• 👥 Jackson Bunch best in 3-person heats (Rating: 2.57)
• 📈 Matthew McGillivray struggling (-3.6)
Men's Tour - Heat 3 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Jack Robinson: 74.7/100
• Liam O'Brien: 31.6/100
• Alan Cleland: 21.1/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Liam O'Brien: +5.9% edge @ 5.30 ⭐⭐
• Jack Robinson: -7.2% edge @ 1.52 ❌
• Alan Cleland: -9.1% edge @ 3.90 ❌
Jack Robinson (AUS)
Odds: 1.52 (66% implied)
Performance Level: Strong (17.8)
Form: Stable (-0.2)
Pipeline Experience: 6 events
Historic Pipe Score: 13.76
Career Win Rate: 57%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.35
• Win Rate: 52%
• Rating: 1.41
Liam O'Brien (AUS)
Odds: 5.30 (19% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (5.3)
Form: Dipping (-2.9)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 11.12
Career Win Rate: 38%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (29 heats)
Alan Cleland (MEX)
Odds: 3.90 (26% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (6.0)
Form: Stable (-0.8)
Pipeline Experience: Rookie
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (1 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Jack Robinson leads Pipeline scoring (13.8)
• 👥 Jack Robinson best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.41)
• 📈 Liam O'Brien struggling (-2.9)
Men's Tour - Heat 4 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Griffin Colapinto: 77.3/100
• Leonardo Fioravanti: 38.2/100
• Ian Gentil: 33.9/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Ian Gentil: -2.3% edge @ 4.00 ❌
• Griffin Colapinto: -3.8% edge @ 1.80 ❌
• Leonardo Fioravanti: -4.3% edge @ 3.35 ❌
Griffin Colapinto (USA)
Odds: 1.80 (56% implied)
Performance Level: Strong (17.8)
Form: Strong (+2.6)
Pipeline Experience: 6 events
Historic Pipe Score: 11.88
Career Win Rate: 57%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.47
• Win Rate: 51%
• Rating: 1.35
Leonardo Fioravanti (ITA)
Odds: 3.35 (30% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (6.2)
Form: Slumping (-3.7)
Pipeline Experience: 6 events
Historic Pipe Score: 9.02
Career Win Rate: 57%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.67
• Win Rate: 43%
• Rating: 1.10
Ian Gentil (HAW)
Odds: 4.00 (25% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (3.8)
Form: Dipping (-2.7)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 12.61
Career Win Rate: 50%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (24 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Ian Gentil leads Pipeline scoring (12.6)
• 👥 Griffin Colapinto best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.35)
• 📈 Griffin Colapinto in strong form (+2.6)
• 📈 Leonardo Fioravanti struggling (-3.7)
• 📈 Ian Gentil struggling (-2.7)
Men's Tour - Heat 5 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Italo Ferreira: 48.5/100
• Samuel Pupo: 43.8/100
• Kelly Slater: 43.5/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Kelly Slater: +3.5% edge @ 3.50 ⭐
• Samuel Pupo: -1.1% edge @ 3.00 ❌
• Italo Ferreira: -14.8% edge @ 1.98 ❌
Italo Ferreira (BRA)
Odds: 1.98 (51% implied)
Performance Level: Elite (18.2)
Form: Stable (+0.9)
Pipeline Experience: 9 events
Historic Pipe Score: 10.95
Career Win Rate: 59%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 0.98
• Win Rate: 52%
• Rating: 1.44
Samuel Pupo (BRA)
Odds: 3.00 (33% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (9.8)
Form: Stable (-0.1)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 8.73
Career Win Rate: 38%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (28 heats)
Kelly Slater (USA)
Odds: 3.50 (29% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (4.4)
Form: Stable (-0.7)
Pipeline Experience: 31 events
Historic Pipe Score: 7.61
Career Win Rate: 69%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.18
• Win Rate: 44%
• Rating: 1.20
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Italo Ferreira leads Pipeline scoring (10.9)
• 👥 Italo Ferreira best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.44)
• ⚠️ 28 event experience gap
Men's Tour - Heat 6 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• John John Florence: 53.5/100
• Ian Gouveia: 33.5/100
• Eli Hanneman: 32.0/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Eli Hanneman: +9.5% edge @ 5.75 ⭐⭐
• Ian Gouveia: +4.6% edge @ 4.25 ⭐
• John John Florence: -24.5% edge @ 1.44 ❌
John John Florence (HAW)
Odds: 1.44 (69% implied)
Performance Level: Elite (20.0)
Form: Stable (-0.5)
Pipeline Experience: 15 events
Historic Pipe Score: 16.29
Career Win Rate: 73%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.01
• Win Rate: 62%
• Rating: 1.72
Ian Gouveia (BRA)
Odds: 4.25 (24% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (6.4)
Form: Stable (-0.6)
Pipeline Experience: 2 events
Historic Pipe Score: 8.97
Career Win Rate: 50%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (14 heats)
Eli Hanneman (HAW)
Odds: 5.75 (17% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (2.2)
Form: Dipping (-2.8)
Pipeline Experience: 1 events
Historic Pipe Score: 11.45
Career Win Rate: 50%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (8 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 John John Florence leads Pipeline scoring (16.3)
• 👥 John John Florence best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.72)
• 📈 Eli Hanneman struggling (-2.8)
• ⚠️ 14 event experience gap
Men's Tour - Heat 7 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Jordy Smith: 58.4/100
• Imaikalani deVault: 34.8/100
• George Pittar: 27.4/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Jordy Smith: +11.4% edge @ 2.70 ⭐⭐⭐
• George Pittar: -11.2% edge @ 2.95 ❌
• Imaikalani deVault: -12.8% edge @ 2.40 ❌
Jordy Smith (RSA)
Odds: 2.70 (37% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (10.8)
Form: Stable (-0.5)
Pipeline Experience: 15 events
Historic Pipe Score: 9.81
Career Win Rate: 50%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 0.92
• Win Rate: 49%
• Rating: 1.38
Imaikalani deVault (HAW)
Odds: 2.40 (42% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (3.2)
Form: Stable (+0.6)
Pipeline Experience: 5 events
Historic Pipe Score: 8.17
Career Win Rate: 29%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (24 heats)
George Pittar (AUS)
Odds: 2.95 (34% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (6.4)
Form: Strong (+2.4)
Pipeline Experience: Rookie
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (3 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Jordy Smith leads Pipeline scoring (9.8)
• 👥 George Pittar best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.69)
• 📈 George Pittar in strong form (+2.4)
Men's Tour - Heat 8 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Rio Waida: 54.1/100
• Joel Vaughan: 34.9/100
• Kanoa Igarashi: 33.7/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Joel Vaughan: +3.4% edge @ 4.00 ⭐
• Rio Waida: +2.4% edge @ 2.40 ⭐
• Kanoa Igarashi: -19.0% edge @ 2.15 ❌
Rio Waida (INA)
Odds: 2.40 (42% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (9.6)
Form: Red Hot (+3.8)
Pipeline Experience: 2 events
Historic Pipe Score: 6.17
Career Win Rate: 50%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 2.22
• Win Rate: 23%
• Rating: 0.56
Kanoa Igarashi (JPN)
Odds: 2.15 (47% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (6.0)
Form: Slumping (-4.0)
Pipeline Experience: 8 events
Historic Pipe Score: 6.62
Career Win Rate: 50%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.32
• Win Rate: 38%
• Rating: 1.01
Joel Vaughan (AUS)
Odds: 4.00 (25% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (9.8)
Form: Stable (+1.2)
Pipeline Experience: Rookie
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (2 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Kanoa Igarashi leads Pipeline scoring (6.6)
• 👥 Joel Vaughan best in 3-person heats (Rating: 3.32)
• 📈 Rio Waida in strong form (+3.8)
• 📈 Kanoa Igarashi struggling (-4.0)
Men's Tour - Heat 9 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Miguel Pupo: 51.7/100
• Connor O'Leary: 46.2/100
• Jake Marshall: 34.8/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Jake Marshall: +3.5% edge @ 4.40 ⭐
• Miguel Pupo: -2.7% edge @ 2.40 ❌
• Connor O'Leary: -13.5% edge @ 2.07 ❌
Jake Marshall (USA)
Odds: 4.40 (23% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (4.9)
Form: Dipping (-2.3)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 8.72
Career Win Rate: 14%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.38
• Win Rate: 19%
• Rating: 0.51
Connor O'Leary (JPN)
Odds: 2.07 (48% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (7.3)
Form: Stable (+0.2)
Pipeline Experience: 6 events
Historic Pipe Score: 11.63
Career Win Rate: 40%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 0.96
• Win Rate: 29%
• Rating: 0.79
Miguel Pupo (BRA)
Odds: 2.40 (42% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (8.8)
Form: Dipping (-2.3)
Pipeline Experience: 12 events
Historic Pipe Score: 11.67
Career Win Rate: 47%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 0.87
• Win Rate: 29%
• Rating: 0.81
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Miguel Pupo leads Pipeline scoring (11.7)
• 👥 Miguel Pupo best in 3-person heats (Rating: 0.81)
• 📈 Jake Marshall struggling (-2.3)
• 📈 Miguel Pupo struggling (-2.3)
Men's Tour - Heat 10 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Deivid Silva: 35.0/100
• Cole Houshmand: 33.5/100
• Ramzi Boukhiam: 31.9/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Deivid Silva: +7.1% edge @ 3.60 ⭐⭐
• Ramzi Boukhiam: -4.6% edge @ 2.75 ❌
• Cole Houshmand: -14.9% edge @ 2.07 ❌
Ramzi Boukhiam (MAR)
Odds: 2.75 (36% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (8.1)
Form: Stable (-0.2)
Pipeline Experience: 2 events
Historic Pipe Score: nan
Career Win Rate: 33%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (15 heats)
Cole Houshmand (USA)
Odds: 2.07 (48% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (4.6)
Form: Dipping (-2.1)
Pipeline Experience: 1 events
Historic Pipe Score: 11.52
Career Win Rate: 0%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (15 heats)
Deivid Silva (BRA)
Odds: 3.60 (28% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (2.6)
Form: Stable (-1.2)
Pipeline Experience: 4 events
Historic Pipe Score: 7.40
Career Win Rate: 0%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 2.40
• Win Rate: 20%
• Rating: 0.49
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Cole Houshmand leads Pipeline scoring (11.5)
• 👥 Ramzi Boukhiam best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.08)
• 📈 Cole Houshmand struggling (-2.1)
Men's Tour - Heat 11 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Filipe Toledo: 62.7/100
• Barron Mamiya: 49.9/100
• Alejo Muniz: 35.2/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Alejo Muniz: +9.5% edge @ 7.00 ⭐⭐
• Filipe Toledo: +7.3% edge @ 2.85 ⭐⭐
• Barron Mamiya: -29.1% edge @ 1.59 ❌
Filipe Toledo (BRA)
Odds: 2.85 (35% implied)
Performance Level: Strong (16.3)
Form: Stable (-0.3)
Pipeline Experience: 11 events
Historic Pipe Score: 5.05
Career Win Rate: 41%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.36
• Win Rate: 52%
• Rating: 1.41
Barron Mamiya (HAW)
Odds: 1.59 (63% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (7.8)
Form: Stable (+0.8)
Pipeline Experience: 4 events
Historic Pipe Score: 12.07
Career Win Rate: 73%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 0.94
• Win Rate: 35%
• Rating: 0.97
Alejo Muniz (BRA)
Odds: 7.00 (14% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (6.2)
Form: Stable (-1.3)
Pipeline Experience: 4 events
Historic Pipe Score: 5.52
Career Win Rate: 50%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 0.16
• Win Rate: 27%
• Rating: 0.81
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Barron Mamiya leads Pipeline scoring (12.1)
• 👥 Filipe Toledo best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.41)
Men's Tour - Heat 12 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Ryan Callinan: 55.7/100
• Joao Chianca: 51.1/100
• Marco Mignot: 21.0/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Ryan Callinan: +12.3% edge @ 3.20 ⭐⭐⭐
• Marco Mignot: -5.8% edge @ 4.50 ❌
• Joao Chianca: -18.5% edge @ 1.71 ❌
Joao Chianca (BRA)
Odds: 1.71 (58% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (8.7)
Form: Stable (-0.6)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 16.90
Career Win Rate: 63%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (22 heats)
Ryan Callinan (AUS)
Odds: 3.20 (31% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (10.5)
Form: Stable (-0.3)
Pipeline Experience: 7 events
Historic Pipe Score: 10.66
Career Win Rate: 47%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.58
• Win Rate: 37%
• Rating: 0.97
Marco Mignot (FRA)
Odds: 4.50 (22% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (5.7)
Form: Stable (-0.7)
Pipeline Experience: Rookie
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (4 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Joao Chianca leads Pipeline scoring (16.9)
• 👥 Joao Chianca best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.25)
Women's Tour - Heat 1 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Sally Fitzgibbons: 43.4/100
• Tatiana Weston-Webb: 37.1/100
• Luana Silva: 24.1/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Sally Fitzgibbons: +18.8% edge @ 4.40 ⭐⭐⭐
• Luana Silva: -9.2% edge @ 3.10 ❌
• Tatiana Weston-Webb: -22.3% edge @ 1.73 ❌
Tatiana Weston-Webb (BRA)
Odds: 1.73 (58% implied)
Performance Level: Mid-tier (12.8)
Form: Stable (+0.8)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 5.69
Career Win Rate: 25%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.05
• Win Rate: 38%
• Rating: 1.03
Sally Fitzgibbons (AUS)
Odds: 4.40 (23% implied)
Performance Level: Mid-tier (13.7)
Form: Stable (-0.9)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 6.78
Career Win Rate: 17%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: -0.04
• Win Rate: 61%
• Rating: 1.85
Luana Silva (BRA)
Odds: 3.10 (32% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (4.2)
Form: Dipping (-2.6)
Pipeline Experience: 2 events
Historic Pipe Score: 5.17
Career Win Rate: 20%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (18 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Sally Fitzgibbons leads Pipeline scoring (6.8)
• 👥 Sally Fitzgibbons best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.85)
• 📈 Luana Silva struggling (-2.6)
Women's Tour - Heat 2 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Caroline Marks: 37.9/100
• Bella Kenworthy: 12.8/100
• Nadia Erostarbe: 12.6/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Nadia Erostarbe: -1.8% edge @ 4.60 ❌
• Caroline Marks: -3.0% edge @ 1.59 ❌
• Bella Kenworthy: -7.6% edge @ 3.60 ❌
Caroline Marks (USA)
Odds: 1.59 (63% implied)
Performance Level: Elite (19.1)
Form: Dipping (-2.8)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 7.49
Career Win Rate: 50%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.06
• Win Rate: 59%
• Rating: 1.60
Bella Kenworthy (USA)
Odds: 3.60 (28% implied)
Performance Level: Mid-tier (13.1)
Form: Dipping (-2.4)
Pipeline Experience: Rookie
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (0 heats)
Nadia Erostarbe (EAE)
Odds: 4.60 (22% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (6.8)
Form: Slumping (-5.0)
Pipeline Experience: Rookie
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (0 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Caroline Marks leads Pipeline scoring (7.5)
• 👥 Caroline Marks best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.60)
• 📈 Caroline Marks struggling (-2.8)
• 📈 Bella Kenworthy struggling (-2.4)
• 📈 Nadia Erostarbe struggling (-5.0)
Women's Tour - Heat 3 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Caitlin Simmers: 56.9/100
• Isabella Nichols: 32.7/100
• Moana Jones Wong: 29.1/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Isabella Nichols: +13.3% edge @ 7.00 ⭐⭐⭐
• Moana Jones Wong: +2.3% edge @ 4.50 ⭐
• Caitlin Simmers: -24.5% edge @ 1.38 ❌
Caitlin Simmers (USA)
Odds: 1.38 (72% implied)
Performance Level: Strong (15.5)
Form: Stable (+0.9)
Pipeline Experience: 2 events
Historic Pipe Score: 9.64
Career Win Rate: 71%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (25 heats)
Isabella Nichols (AUS)
Odds: 7.00 (14% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (7.9)
Form: Dipping (-1.7)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 4.23
Career Win Rate: 29%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 2.10
• Win Rate: 33%
• Rating: 0.81
Moana Jones Wong (HAW)
Odds: 4.50 (22% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (7.3)
Form: Stable (-1.3)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 6.99
Career Win Rate: 67%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (5 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Caitlin Simmers leads Pipeline scoring (9.6)
• 👥 Caitlin Simmers best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.00)
Women's Tour - Heat 4 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Tyler Wright: 44.5/100
• Brisa Hennessy: 42.8/100
• Lakey Peterson: 34.8/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Tyler Wright: -3.6% edge @ 2.50 ❌
• Lakey Peterson: -3.8% edge @ 3.10 ❌
• Brisa Hennessy: -4.9% edge @ 2.50 ❌
Brisa Hennessy (CRC)
Odds: 2.50 (40% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (9.6)
Form: Slumping (-3.8)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 7.12
Career Win Rate: 50%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 0.83
• Win Rate: 30%
• Rating: 0.84
Tyler Wright (AUS)
Odds: 2.50 (40% implied)
Performance Level: Mid-tier (14.2)
Form: Stable (-1.5)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 11.23
Career Win Rate: 64%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 1.10
• Win Rate: 55%
• Rating: 1.50
Lakey Peterson (USA)
Odds: 3.10 (32% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (6.4)
Form: Dipping (-3.3)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 6.61
Career Win Rate: 44%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
• Avg Score Drop: 0.28
• Win Rate: 35%
• Rating: 1.02
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Tyler Wright leads Pipeline scoring (11.2)
• 👥 Tyler Wright best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.50)
• 📈 Brisa Hennessy struggling (-3.8)
• 📈 Lakey Peterson struggling (-3.3)
Women's Tour - Heat 5 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Molly Picklum: 44.2/100
• Vahine Fierro: 39.1/100
• Bettylou Sakura Johnson: 37.3/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Vahine Fierro: -2.7% edge @ 2.85 ❌
• Molly Picklum: -3.3% edge @ 2.50 ❌
• Bettylou Sakura Johnson: -6.1% edge @ 2.70 ❌
Molly Picklum (AUS)
Odds: 2.50 (40% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (10.1)
Form: Dipping (-1.6)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 11.14
Career Win Rate: 70%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (25 heats)
Bettylou Sakura Johnson (HAW)
Odds: 2.70 (37% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (9.4)
Form: Dipping (-3.2)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 8.43
Career Win Rate: 50%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (27 heats)
Vahine Fierro (FRA)
Odds: 2.85 (35% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (10.4)
Form: Strong (+3.3)
Pipeline Experience: Rookie
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (6 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Molly Picklum leads Pipeline scoring (11.1)
• 👥 Vahine Fierro best in 3-person heats (Rating: 1.52)
• 📈 Bettylou Sakura Johnson struggling (-3.2)
• 📈 Vahine Fierro in strong form (+3.3)
Women's Tour - Heat 6 Analysis
Surferlytics Score Predictions:
• Gabriela Bryan: 47.8/100
• Sawyer Lindblad: 35.9/100
• Erin Brooks: 26.7/100
Betting Value Analysis:
• Gabriela Bryan: +18.3% edge @ 4.00 ⭐⭐⭐
• Sawyer Lindblad: +18.2% edge @ 7.00 ⭐⭐⭐
• Erin Brooks: -45.3% edge @ 1.44 ❌
Gabriela Bryan (HAW)
Odds: 4.00 (25% implied)
Performance Level: Developing (8.3)
Form: Stable (-1.4)
Pipeline Experience: 3 events
Historic Pipe Score: 7.50
Career Win Rate: 29%
3-Person Heat Stats (30+ heats):
Avg Score Drop: 1.37
Win Rate: 31%
Rating: 0.81
Sawyer Lindblad (USA)
Odds: 7.00 (14% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (5.0)
Form: Stable (-1.3)
Pipeline Experience: 1 events
Historic Pipe Score: 12.12
Career Win Rate: 50%
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (10 heats)
Erin Brooks (CAN)
Odds: 1.44 (69% implied)
Performance Level: Struggling (7.6)
Form: Strong (+2.2)
Pipeline Experience: Rookie
Limited 3-Person Heat Data (1 heats)
Key Insights:
• 🌊 Sawyer Lindblad leads Pipeline scoring (12.1)
• 👥 Gabriela Bryan best in 3-person heats (Rating: 0.81)
• 📈 Erin Brooks in strong form (+2.2)
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